Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.055111 0.064565 0.075110 0.087740 0.102453 0.119050 0.139192
2025-08-31 0.039751 0.051833 0.066767 0.086564 0.112108 0.143948 0.186660
2025-09-07 0.031987 0.045264 0.063008 0.088416 0.123837 0.171450 0.240328
2025-09-14 0.026019 0.039392 0.058455 0.087541 0.130749 0.192531 0.287595
2025-09-21 0.021383 0.034331 0.053850 0.085318 0.134707 0.209192 0.330064
2025-09-28 0.017770 0.030074 0.049576 0.082604 0.137050 0.223160 0.369674
2025-10-05 0.015856 0.028146 0.048530 0.084622 0.146813 0.249469 0.431737
2025-10-12 0.014053 0.026079 0.046880 0.085265 0.154177 0.272519 0.491072
2025-10-19 0.012500 0.024182 0.045203 0.085523 0.160738 0.294763 0.551537
2025-10-26 0.011340 0.022815 0.044244 0.086867 0.169289 0.321326 0.622793
2025-11-02 0.010513 0.021949 0.044065 0.089590 0.180659 0.354205 0.709618
2025-11-09 0.009153 0.019814 0.041149 0.086557 0.180442 0.365114 0.755381
2025-11-16 0.008230 0.018465 0.039650 0.086256 0.185803 0.387820 0.828150
2025-11-23 0.007340 0.017056 0.037843 0.085069 0.189199 0.407039 0.896375
2025-11-30 0.006814 0.016370 0.037466 0.086884 0.199176 0.440950 0.999745
2025-12-07 0.006144 0.015251 0.035982 0.086022 0.203126 0.462451 1.078710
2025-12-14 0.005466 0.014007 0.034042 0.083838 0.203762 0.476702 1.143110
2025-12-21 0.004841 0.012799 0.032019 0.081169 0.202892 0.487398 1.200552
2025-12-28 0.004561 0.012416 0.031921 0.083153 0.213410 0.525576 1.327628
2026-01-04 0.004232 0.011859 0.031316 0.083786 0.220672 0.556865 1.441798
2026-01-11 0.003916 0.011289 0.030601 0.084039 0.227000 0.586606 1.555741
2026-01-18 0.003680 0.010901 0.030308 0.085359 0.236263 0.624705 1.695638
2026-01-25 0.003520 0.010707 0.030506 0.088037 0.249474 0.674377 1.871778